Thursday, December 18, 2008

[IWS] PRB: RETHINKING AGE & AGING [December 2008]

IWS Documented News Service
_______________________________
Institute for Workplace Studies----------------- Professor Samuel B. Bacharach
School of Industrial & Labor Relations
-------- Director, Institute for Workplace Studies
Cornell University
16 East 34th Street, 4th floor
---------------------- Stuart Basefsky
New York, NY 10016
-------------------------------Director, IWS News Bureau
________________________________________________________________________

Population Reference Bureau (PRB)

Population Bulletin, Vol. 63, No. 4 December 2008

Rethinking Age and Aging
by Warren Sanderson and Sergei Scherbov
http://www.prb.org/Publications/PopulationBulletins/2008/aging.aspx
or
http://www.prb.org/pdf08/63.4aging.pdf
[full-text, 20 pages]
and
[Table] Conventional and Prospective Measures of Population Aging, 1955, 2005, 2025, and 2045
http://www.prb.org/excel08/age-aging_table.xls
[spreadsheet]

-  '40 is the new 30' – more than just a catchy phrase.
-  With increases in life expectancy, public policy must account for the number of years individuals will live after a given age.
-  New measures of population aging introduced.

Introduction............................................................................................................................................... 3
The Concept of Age....................................................................................................................................3
Figure 1. Life Expectancies at Birth, Females, 1850–2005.............................................................4
Life Expectancy Then and Now...................................................................................................................4
Figure 2. Life Expectancies at Age 65, Females, 1950–2005......................................................... 5
Prospective Age......................................................................................................................................... 5
Figure 3. Remaining Life Expectancy Among French Women, 1952 and 2005............................ 5
Box 1. Adjusting Median Age for Life Expectancy.................................................................... 6
Box 2. Life Expectancy and When To Retire.............................................................................. 6
Table 1. Computation of Prospective Age of a 54-Year-Old Australian Male..............................7
Defining Old Age........................................................................................................................................7
Population Aging Measures....................................................................................................................... 8
Figure 4. Proportion of the World's Population 65+ vs. the Proportion at Ages With Remaining Life Expectancies of 15 Years or Less......... 9
Table 2. Conventional and Prospective Measures of Population Aging for Major World Regions, 2005 and 2045...................10
Figure 5. Conventional and Prospective Old-Age Dependency Ratios by Major Region, 1955–2045........................... 11
Table 3. Conventional and Prospective Old-Age Dependency Ratios, Selected Countries, 1955, 1980, 2005, 2025, and 2045........... 12
Box 3. The 10 Oldest Countries in the World, 2005 and 2045...................................... 13
Figure 6. Conventional and Prospective Median Ages, North and South Korea, 1955–2045............................. 14
New Thinking Applied to Policy................................................................................................................ 14
Suggested Resources...............................................................................................................................15
References.................................................................................................................................................16
Glossary....................
______________________________
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****************************************
Stuart Basefsky                   
Director, IWS News Bureau                
Institute for Workplace Studies 
Cornell/ILR School                        
16 E. 34th Street, 4th Floor             
New York, NY 10016                        
                                   
Telephone: (607) 255-2703                
Fax: (607) 255-9641                       
E-mail: smb6@cornell.edu                  
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