Wednesday, February 01, 2012
[IWS] CBO: THE BUDGET AND ECONOMIC OUTLOOK: FISCAL YEARS 2012 TO 2022 [31 January 2012]
IWS Documented News Service
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Institute for Workplace Studies----------------- Professor Samuel B. Bacharach
School of Industrial & Labor Relations-------- Director, Institute for Workplace Studies
Cornell University
16 East 34th Street, 4th floor---------------------- Stuart Basefsky
New York, NY 10016 -------------------------------Director, IWS News Bureau
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Congressional Budget Office (CBO)
The Budget and Economic Outlook: Fiscal Years 2012 to 2022 [31 January 2012]
http://www.cbo.gov/doc.cfm?index=12699
or
http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/126xx/doc12699/01-31-2012_Outlook.pdf
[full-text, 165 pages]
Summary
Each January, CBO prepares “baseline” budget projections spanning the next 10 years. Those projections are not a forecast of future events; rather, they are intended to provide a benchmark against which potential policy changes can be measured. Therefore, as specified in law, those projections generally incorporate the assumption that current laws are implemented.
But substantial changes to tax and spending policies are slated to take effect within the next year under current law. So CBO has also prepared projections under an “alternative fiscal scenario,” in which some current or recent policies are assumed to continue in effect, even though, by law, they are scheduled to change. The decisions made by lawmakers as they confront those policy choices will have a significant impact on budget outcomes in the coming years.
SUPPLEMENTAL MATERIAL
Key Assumptions in Projecting Potential GDP (xls)
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