Tuesday, March 06, 2012
[IWS] ADB: THE PREMORTEM TECHNIQUE [March 2012]
IWS Documented News Service
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Institute for Workplace Studies----------------- Professor Samuel B. Bacharach
School of Industrial & Labor Relations-------- Director, Institute for Workplace Studies
Cornell University
16 East 34th Street, 4th floor---------------------- Stuart Basefsky
New York, NY 10016 -------------------------------Director, IWS News Bureau
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Asian Development Bank (ADB)
Knowledge Solutions
March 2012/113
THE PREMORTEM TECHNIQUE [March 2012]
by Olivier Serrat
http://beta.adb.org/publications/premortem-technique
or
http://beta.adb.org/sites/default/files/premortem-technique.pdf
[full-text, 5 pages]
Description
Assumptions that do not associate with probabilities create a false sense of certainty. Working backward, considering alternatives that emerge from failed assumptions broadens the scope of scenarios examined. The Premortem technique raises awareness of possibilities, including their likely consequences, to enrich planning
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